Outstanding Year for Biotechnology -Average Performance is up 35% YTD

Many Rayno Life Science Stocks have outperformed the sector and the ETFs:

  • Albany Molecular Inc. (AMRI), a contract research organization with long term experience in drug discovery, development and manufacturing soared 82% YTD on improved financial results.The stock is a turnaround story and is still selling at less that 1X revenues. Modest 6.4% growth is expected next year with EPS of 24 cents.
  • Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) a leading biotech Company for treatment of infectious diseases such as HIV, Flu and Hepatitis and perennial Rayno pick found new investors driving the stock up 77% YTD.  Sales growth of 10% is expected in 2013. The product pipeline is robust in many disease areas: liver, cancer and HIV.
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) is our best performer up 212% YTD and up 17X since we first recommended the stock in 2009. Regeneron was boosted by Q3 Sales of its Eyelea drug for macular degeneration and total drug revenues of $427M. 2013 revenues are forecasted at $1.8B which at the current market cap would be 9.1 times sales. The Phase 2 and 3 pipeline is extensive encompassing cancer, eye,and inflammatory diseases.

Investors should be cautious in adding new positions at this point as the sector peaked in early October and profit taking in many high flying stocks is expected.

We will review our Portfolio in early February as fiscal cliff issues get resolved.

2012 Price Original P Price %Ret Price Price % Ret
Summary Jy’10 Recomm Dec’10 2010 Apr’11 Dec’12 YTD
Alexion ALXN 50.45 2/2/09 35 80.6 130 100.8 95.4 33.4 split
Albany Mol AMRI 2/10/11 4.68 added 4.32 5.3 81.2
Astex ASTX trade 12/27/11 1.63 2.7 43.4
Amgen AMGN 51.7 2/2/09 55 54.9 0 54 87.4 36.1
Biogen BIIB 49.42 2/2/09 48.5 67.1 37 73.25 149 35.5
Cephalon CEPH 55.95 2/2/09 76.5 61.7 -19 76.92 80.18 30 acquired
Cubist CBST 20.7 2/2/09 21.5 21.4 -3 28.35 42.4 7
Exelixis EXEL trade 9/2/10 3.3 8.21 148 11.12 4.58 -3.2
First Trust FBT 30.4 4/15/10 37.5 39.1 3 41.3 46 41 ETF
Gilead GILD 34.9 2/2/09 51 36.2 -29 42.81 72.7 77.5
iShares ETF IBB 76.6 2/2/09 70.5 93.4 32 101.1 137.8 32 ETF
Micromet MITI 6.28 2/2/09 4 8.12 103 5.46 10.91 272 acquired
ImmunoGen IMGN New 12/22/11 12.4 12.5 8.1
Optimer OPTR 2/18/11 11.8 added 13.8 9.2 -25
Regeneron REGN 21.6 2/2/09 17.5 32.8 82 45.43 173 212
Seattle Gen. SGEN 11.85 2/2/09 9.5 15 57 15.72 23.3 39.4
ViroPharma VPHM 10.88 2/2/09 12 17.3 44 20.05 22.9 -16
Paired Trade closed JY 5 CLOSED
Pharmacycl PCYC long 6/8/12 38.2 60 51
Medivation MDVN short 6/8/12 86.8 50(s) split
XBI 88.3 34 ETF

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