Archive | Macro

Gold up $17 to $974, gold and silver stocks follow

http://ibprairies.org/about-us/board-members/ Gold futures shot up today at 10:30 am NY triggered by a weak jobs report as it broke through 60 day highs of 960. The six month high was 980 in May 2009. Gold investments have made money over 8 years starting at $300 in 2001. Gold hit a high in the $1000 area in […]

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Reflation trade back on: crude up,dollar down, housing sales up

order isotretinoin online no prescription Crude oil futures continued their momentum today with October prices at a 2009 high of $74. The market followed as all four major stock indices reached 2009 intraday highs. Strong home sales for the 4th month in a row were one of the catalysts. July sales of existing homes jumped 7.2% the fastest sales pace […]

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Weak dollar boosts Reflation Trade

http://idsn.com/services/ Ten Month Low on the Dollar The US Dollar Index Future (DXY) gapped down 1.3% today at 78.27 approaching September 2008 lows. This dollar drop immediately brought money into gold up nearly 2% to the 950+ level. Gold is the pure play on the dollar. Gold and silver stocks also rallied with AUY,GDX, NEM and […]

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Rally Update:Energy and metals lead the way

As of this writing two hours before the Friday close crude was above $63 up 3%. Since this rally began last week energy stocks have moved up in lockstep. Better than expected housing starts today have boosted the energy complex with volatile nat gas stocks such as KWK and SWN the biggest winners. Another good […]

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Reflation Trade kicks back: stay cautious

The gloomy job report has risk traders seeking cash. * The Dow,S&P and Nasdaq were all down 2.6% +. * Money flowed into the Dollar and US Treasuries as investors were seeking safety. * Precious metal stocks were down 3%; gold was down 1.25%. * The energy sector was hard hit as oil sold off […]

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Reflation trade turns cautious: 3% Market Sell-Off

The market had a broadbase sell-off today with weakness in all sectors especially commodity stocks such as energy and materials. The 30% rally since March 9th has come to a screeching halt. A global growth warning from the World bank gave a bleak report cutting estimates for 2009 from a 1.7% contraction to 2.9% contraction. […]

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Ten Year Treasury Auction drives Yield to 3.99%

The reflation trade got a big boost from Treasuries today as the latest auction brought yields of close to 4%, much higher than the pricing of the May 9th delayed auction when yields were about 3.19%. The ongoing run on oil didn’t help matters as crude futures rose to $71.83 a rise of 1.84% a […]

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Reflation trade picks up after Auction

Auction Goes Well The Treasury sold $35 B of 5 Year Bonds at 2.32% higher than the last auction of 2.19% so analysts felt this was a good sign because it was the second strong auction in a row after yesterday’s 2 Year auction. Foreign investors now own more than half of the $6.35T Treasuries […]

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Reflation trade kicks up

The reflation trade picked up the MO today with big winners among commodity and precious metal stocks. Dollar weakness,10 year treasuries hitting 3.2%, and China’s appetite for raw materials and energy are drawing investors to copper,silver,titanium and energy raw materials. Coal has been on a tear. Risk appetite has boosted the Euro and other currencies; […]

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Macro Reflation trade: Deflation risk persists

An April 14 story on Bloomberg said that the ECB may have to lower interest rates below 1.25% next month to counter the worse recession in six decades. And the FED continued its quantitative easing Monday purchasing $7.37B in Treasuries and $5.15 B in Agency debt. Treasuries ended strong with the Ten Year Tsy Bond […]

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