Rayno Snow Blog (La Nina Advisory) and Nat Gas Update (Bearish)

Yes there is snow everywhere in California and more to come. Mammoth has 161″ month to date an all time record and 11-16 feet over past several days. Season TD snow is 255″.

Weather Geek : TahoeLoco.com

Mammoth Lakes Weather brought to you by Howard Sheckter

Natural Gas Update-Oversupply Creates Bearish Headwind

Nat gas is in a funk since reaching a high of $4.61 earlier this month. There appears to be some support and a potential pivot in  in the $4.05 range. Prices are oversold so look for a rally to the $4.20 range. Average prices have been at $4.39 compared to $8.92 just two years ago. But despite a bullish tone to crude, coal and now even gasoline, nat gas is bearish for the following reasons:

  • Prices have not firmed even with recent cold weather. Supply trumps weather.
  • Shale gas drilling boom has led to chronic oversupply. Will drillers shift to oil?
  • Gas producers are using derivatives to lock in positions.
  • Electricity producers can shift from coal to gas but it takes time; tighter environmental regulations could drive the shift.

Temperatures are expected to be normal over the next two weeks with below normal in the SouthEast. Precip will be above normal in Northwest and Northeast.

Just in $4.15

Natural Gas Futures Advance in New York on Colder Forecast for Midwest – Bloomberg

Climate Prediction Center

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