Update-1 11/22 Broad Market Rally with all major indices up over 1%. Small cap spec stocks gain momentum, XBI up 1.38%. Energy materials and tech strong. IBB up 0.79% to $134.  Bears acknowledge year end strength but still say 2023 fraught with weakening economy and uncertainty on earnings front with FED fighting the market.

Large Cap Biopharmaceuticals 2022: Performance and Metrics

Large cap biopharma stocks continue to offer outperformance in a time of uncertainty from MACRO headwinds. Valuations are still reasonable and product pipelines remain robust through 2023. Large cap biopharmas are a core holding for every portfolio and outperforms all mutual funds and the IBB. With strong balance sheets and R&D depth these companies are also in a position to do licensing and M&A with many smaller biotechs.

Review previous posts on Large Cap Biopharmas.

Key Points:

  1. Year to date performance of our top picks are in the double digits YTD. Top performers are : VRTX  43%, MRK 36%, LLY 31%, AMGN 27%, BIIB 26%,  BMY 24%.  AMGN and BIIB were previous laggards .
  2. Valuations remain attractive with forward PEs in mid to low teens and price to sales ratios under 6.
  3. Lilly has a higher valuation because of expected growth from their blockbuster Mounjaro obesity product.
  4. Dividends are in the 2-4% range except BIIB, REGN and VRTX
  5. AMGN, GILD, LLY, MRK and VRTX are at new highs.

 

Disclosure: Long ABBV, BMY, GILD, LLY, MRK, MRTX, REGN, VRTX.

Company Ticker Price Price Price MktCap % Perf
COMPANY 1/15/18 11/19/22 11/1/19 2022 YTD FWD Analyst % 52 week high
$B P/S PE Recom Div
Abbvie ABBV 100.000 154.98 81.75 274 14.46 4.65 13.49 2.3 3.82 175.92
Alexion*(ALXN) ALXN 123.000 182.5 109.38 40.33 n/a 4.56 9.38 2.2
*acquired by AZN
Amgen AMGN 185.000 287.29 221 153.29 27.7 5.82 15.48 2.7 2.7 296.67h
AstraZeneca* AZN 35.000 65 40.34 199.5 11.71 4.4 17.95 1.8 2.92 71.7
Biogen BIIB 336.000 302.89 299.2 43.62 26.25 4.2 19.25 2.2u 351.86
Bristol Myers* BMY 63.000 77.45 57.16 164.7 24.22 3.51 9.75 2.3d 2.79 80.59
Celgene* (BMY) CELG 106.000 n/a 108.53 77 n/a 4.69 8.7 n/a
*acquired by BMY
Gilead Sci GILD 79.000 83.62 61.69 104.9 15.16 3.85 12.38 2.4 3.49 83.62h
GlaxoSmithK* GSK 38.000 32.89 45 66.9 -25.4 1.76 8.94 2.6d 4.96 *46.97
Eli Lilly LLY 85.000 361.67 113 343.65 30.94 11.72 39.31 2u 1.08 363h
Merck MRK 59.000 104.23 78 264.3 36 3.84.4 13.79 2.1u 2.65 104h
Regeneron REGN 367.000 736.73 310.48 80.23 16.66 5.87 17.66 2.44d 747.42
Vertex VRTX 158.000 314.63 196 80.76 43.27 9.14 19.88 2.1 314h
11/22 11/19 %YTD
MTD%
2022 high
XBI 81.01 93 -27.64 0 115
IBB 133.74 119.65 -12.37 8.99 155
FBIOX 16 20.26 -17.31 1.2 19.67
XLV 134.57 121.11 -4.49 6.3 143.42
XPH 42 39.47 -8.91 0.86 46.15
UNH 530 252 5.55 1.49 550
QQQ 284.82 201.23 -28.41 4.91 408.71

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