Update-1… 11/17…Vertex (VRTX) rises on good volume.Added to small position. Good value on fwd PE; look for an upgrade or a deal. Strong CF franchise but needs R&D milestone hit.
Large Cap Biopharmaceuticals Metrics and Review
- Stock Performance was mixed across the sector so stock picking was key.
- The biotech sector underperformed as shown by the IBB flat YTD.
- Our top picks were Abbvie (ABBV), Merck, Regeneron (REGN) and Roche (RHHBY).
Throughout 2021 we emphasized large cap biopharmaceuticals as a core holding in your healthcare portfolio. We developed this model with diversification from medtech and life science tools.When the antiviral news broke we were holding a little Merck and Pfizer which only recently caught up. The following large caps are at or near 52 week highs: ABBV, GSK, LLY, PFE and RHHBY. Good performance was achieved in slower growth value plays with good dividends: GILD, GSK. We traded LLY which is the best performer in 2021 but has become very expensive with a Price to Sales of 9.26 and a forward PE of 31.72. The LLY chart shows a double top at $270
Laggards were BIIB still up YTD despite selloff from Aduhelm AD drug; and VRTX which is tradable for a potential deal. Amgen is another laggard down 8% YTD because of lackluster growth,
Today JNJ announced a split of the Company separating its legacy consumer products from higher growth growing biopharmaceutical and medtech products.The response was good but the stock rose only 1.34% to the $165 level .JNJ was $180 in August.
We will update this post through January 2022 at the time of the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference.
1/15/18 | 11/11/21 | 11/1/19 | 2021 | YTD | FWD | Analyst | % | ||||
$B | P/S | PE | Recom | Div | |||||||
Abbvie | ABBV | 100.000 | 116.63 | 81.75 | 206.2 | 8.85 | 3.73 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 4.46 | |
Alexion*(ALXN) | ALXN | 123.000 | 182.5 | 109.38 | 40.33 | n/a | 4.56 | 9.38 | 2.2 |
*acquired by AZN
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|
Amgen | AMGN | 185.000 | 211.56 | 221 | 119.2 | -8 | 4.69 | 11.7 | 2.5 | 3.33 | |
AstraZeneca* | AZN | 35.000 | 62.92 | 40.34 | 196.4 | 25.9 | 6.76 | 15.81 | 1.6 | 2.23 | see ALXN |
Biogen | BIIB | 336.000 | 266.57 | 299.2 | 39.16 | 8.87 | 3.55 | 14 | 2.3 | – | |
Bristol Myers* | BMY | 63.000 | 59.19 | 57.16 | 131.4 | (4.4) | 2.88 | 7.56 | 2 | 3.31 | |
Celgene* (BMY) | CELG | 106.000 | n/a | 108.53 | 77 | n/a | 4.69 | 8.7 | n/a |
*acquired by BMY
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|
Gilead Sci | GILD | 79.000 | 67.43 | 64.66 | 84.6 | 12.18 | 3.08 | 9.93 | 2.4 | 4.21 | |
GlaxoSmithK | GSK | 38.000 | 43.23 | 45 | 108.76 | 17.47 | 2.39 | 13.51 | 2 | 5.02 | |
Eli Lilly | LLY | 85.000 | 262.6 | 113 | 251.2 | 51.55 | 9.26 | 31.72 | 2.2 | 1.29 | |
Merck | MRK | 59.000 | 84 | 84.94 | 212.2 | 7.64 | 4.95 | 11.48 | 2 | 3.09 | |
Regeneron | REGN | 367.000 | 626.6 | 310.48 | 70.9 | 29.7 | 5.24 | 13.61 | 2 | – | |
Vertex | VRTX | 158.000 | 185.9 | 215.21 | 48.6 | 21.35 | 6.81 | 13.95 | 2 | – | |
XBI | 124.62 | 83.66 | -10.28 | ||||||||
IBB | 169.4 | 109.85 | 1.27 | ||||||||
FBIOX | 22.45 | 20.26 | -13.07 | ||||||||
XLV | 133.69 | 94.87 | 17.37 | ||||||||
XPH | 50.06 | 39.47 | -2.23 | ||||||||
QQQ | 368.82 | 201.23 | 24.5 | ||||||||