by Rod Raynovich | Oct 2, 2009 | Macro
The dollar traded down 0.38% after a fierce rally yesterday that coincided with a weak stock market. Crude fell 1.5% today to $69.77 a barrel with weak employment number and assumption that energy demand will take a long time to rebound. Unemployment rose to a 26 year...
by Rod Raynovich | Oct 1, 2009 | Energy, Macro
The market took a thrashing today with the biggest one day slide since July 2; major indices were down 2-3% but materials and financials were down 4%. The Dollar Index DXY was up 0.7% to 77.2% just off its one year low of 75. Equities have been tracking the dollar and...
by Rod Raynovich | Sep 2, 2009 | Macro
Gold futures shot up today at 10:30 am NY triggered by a weak jobs report as it broke through 60 day highs of 960. The six month high was 980 in May 2009. Gold investments have made money over 8 years starting at $300 in 2001. Gold hit a high in the $1000 area in...
by Rod Raynovich | Aug 21, 2009 | Macro
Crude oil futures continued their momentum today with October prices at a 2009 high of $74. The market followed as all four major stock indices reached 2009 intraday highs. Strong home sales for the 4th month in a row were one of the catalysts. July sales of existing...
by Rod Raynovich | Jul 31, 2009 | Macro
Ten Month Low on the Dollar The US Dollar Index Future (DXY) gapped down 1.3% today at 78.27 approaching September 2008 lows. This dollar drop immediately brought money into gold up nearly 2% to the 950+ level. Gold is the pure play on the dollar. Gold and silver...
by Rod Raynovich | Jul 17, 2009 | BIOgraph, Macro
As of this writing two hours before the Friday close crude was above $63 up 3%. Since this rally began last week energy stocks have moved up in lockstep. Better than expected housing starts today have boosted the energy complex with volatile nat gas stocks such as KWK...
by Rod Raynovich | Jul 3, 2009 | Macro
The gloomy job report has risk traders seeking cash. * The Dow,S&P and Nasdaq were all down 2.6% +. * Money flowed into the Dollar and US Treasuries as investors were seeking safety. * Precious metal stocks were down 3%; gold was down 1.25%. * The energy sector...
by Rod Raynovich | Jun 22, 2009 | Macro
The market had a broadbase sell-off today with weakness in all sectors especially commodity stocks such as energy and materials. The 30% rally since March 9th has come to a screeching halt. A global growth warning from the World bank gave a bleak report cutting...
by Rod Raynovich | Jun 10, 2009 | Macro
The reflation trade got a big boost from Treasuries today as the latest auction brought yields of close to 4%, much higher than the pricing of the May 9th delayed auction when yields were about 3.19%. The ongoing run on oil didn’t help matters as crude futures...
by Rod Raynovich | May 27, 2009 | Macro
Auction Goes Well The Treasury sold $35 B of 5 Year Bonds at 2.32% higher than the last auction of 2.19% so analysts felt this was a good sign because it was the second strong auction in a row after yesterday’s 2 Year auction. Foreign investors now own more than...
