by Rod Raynovich | Aug 21, 2009 | Macro
Crude oil futures continued their momentum today with October prices at a 2009 high of $74. The market followed as all four major stock indices reached 2009 intraday highs. Strong home sales for the 4th month in a row were one of the catalysts. July sales of existing...
by Rod Raynovich | Jul 31, 2009 | Macro
Ten Month Low on the Dollar The US Dollar Index Future (DXY) gapped down 1.3% today at 78.27 approaching September 2008 lows. This dollar drop immediately brought money into gold up nearly 2% to the 950+ level. Gold is the pure play on the dollar. Gold and silver...
by Rod Raynovich | Jul 17, 2009 | BIOgraph, Macro
As of this writing two hours before the Friday close crude was above $63 up 3%. Since this rally began last week energy stocks have moved up in lockstep. Better than expected housing starts today have boosted the energy complex with volatile nat gas stocks such as KWK...
by Rod Raynovich | Jul 3, 2009 | Macro
The gloomy job report has risk traders seeking cash. * The Dow,S&P and Nasdaq were all down 2.6% +. * Money flowed into the Dollar and US Treasuries as investors were seeking safety. * Precious metal stocks were down 3%; gold was down 1.25%. * The energy sector...
by Rod Raynovich | Jun 22, 2009 | Macro
The market had a broadbase sell-off today with weakness in all sectors especially commodity stocks such as energy and materials. The 30% rally since March 9th has come to a screeching halt. A global growth warning from the World bank gave a bleak report cutting...
by Rod Raynovich | Jun 10, 2009 | Macro
The reflation trade got a big boost from Treasuries today as the latest auction brought yields of close to 4%, much higher than the pricing of the May 9th delayed auction when yields were about 3.19%. The ongoing run on oil didn’t help matters as crude futures...
by Rod Raynovich | May 27, 2009 | Macro
Auction Goes Well The Treasury sold $35 B of 5 Year Bonds at 2.32% higher than the last auction of 2.19% so analysts felt this was a good sign because it was the second strong auction in a row after yesterday’s 2 Year auction. Foreign investors now own more than...
by Rod Raynovich | May 4, 2009 | Macro
The reflation trade picked up the MO today with big winners among commodity and precious metal stocks. Dollar weakness,10 year treasuries hitting 3.2%, and China’s appetite for raw materials and energy are drawing investors to copper,silver,titanium and energy...
by Rod Raynovich | Apr 14, 2009 | Macro, RAG
An April 14 story on Bloomberg said that the ECB may have to lower interest rates below 1.25% next month to counter the worse recession in six decades. And the FED continued its quantitative easing Monday purchasing $7.37B in Treasuries and $5.15 B in Agency debt....
by Rod Raynovich | Feb 3, 2009 | Macro
In December 2008 after the FED action to open money spigots we offered trading ideas primarily the following:precious metals, short treasury bonds,long industrial metals and long high yield corporate bonds. Here is what has moved since then: Gold and silver stocks up...
